It’s no secret that the Democratic Party’s prospects for the upcoming 2024 Senate election cycle are poor. Democrats will find it difficult to maintain their majority given the unfavorable electoral map and the reduced number of open seats. Only one-third of the Senate’s seats are up for election each year because terms are staggered every six years and each state sends two representatives. Democrats will be defending 23 of the 34 seats in 2024, compared to just 11 for Republicans. Compared to recent election cycles, where each party had roughly an equal number of seats on the ballot, this is significantly worse.
Also, eight of the Democratic Party’s seats are in what are known as “FRITZ” or “enemy territory” districts. In 2016 and 2018, President Donald Trump won elections in these states. Republicans are running for no FRITZ seats at the moment. They now have a clear lead against Democrats in the upcoming election as a result of this. Without putting a lot of effort into voter turnout and engagement, it is possible that Republicans will take control of the next Congress thanks to Vice President Mike Pence’s ability to break ties if they win two more seats than Democrats.
Democrats still have some hope in this election cycle despite the poor odds. Since President Trump took office in 2017, progressive voters around the country have demonstrated an unprecedented degree of vigor. Democrats still have a chance to hold onto their slim Senate majority during the 2024 elections if they can capitalize on this passion and enthusiasm by reaching out to younger voters via social media campaigns and launching aggressive get-out-the-vote initiatives to turn out their base, but it won’t be simple. To ensure that every Democratic seat remains blue come November 2024, volunteers around the country must put in a lot of effort. Let’s get started!
